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薄熙來被拋下「大船」

anonym.Chinesisch2013年7月26日

昨日新華社公佈了對薄熙來起訴消息,新華網也於當日發表對該事件評論,暗指薄為「封疆大吏」,評論人士認為,當局拚命對薄案做政治切割,該文卻重提政治話題,暗含深意。

https://p.dw.com/p/19Ebn
--FILE--Bo Xilai, then Governor of Liaoning province and son of former Chinese Vice Premier Bo Yibo, delivers a speech at the China Entrepreneur Summit 2003 in Beijing, China, 7 December 2003. Cut-throat Chinese politics, and not a broader ideological battle, probably led to the banishment of Bo Xilai from the top ranks of Chinas Communist Party this week, former U.S. Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman said on Thursday (12 April 2012). The decision to cast out Bo Xilai from the partys central committee follows his removal in March as party chief of Chongqing, a sprawling municipality in southwest China. The brash and controversial politician has been at the center of an unfolding scandal that led this week to his wife, Gu Kailai, being detained on suspicion of murdering British businessman Neil Heywood. Before his fall, Bo was widely seen as a contender for a post in Chinas top leadership committee, which will be decided later this year.
圖片來源: picture-alliance/dpa

(德國之聲中文網)7月25日,中國官媒新華社通報中國當局對薄熙來涉嫌受賄、貪污、濫用職權犯罪一案,已由山東省濟南市人民檢察署向濟南市中級人民法院提起公訴消息。新華網當天也發表署名王祥的評論文章"薄熙來受審,令出一門 方能不偏不倚"。

文章並未提及對薄依法審判等內容,強調"維護中央政令統一,地方必須要維護中央的權威";文章暗指薄為"封疆大吏",並稱"許多問題官員被揪出之後,我們常常會看到新聞還原他時,會講述其當政時勤政愛民的一面。但功是功,過是過,雖說秦皇書同文、車同軌、修長城、抗匈奴之功絕然當世,但其焚書坑儒、嚴刑峻法、驕奢淫逸之罪惡,亦不能使之逃脫暴君之名的千年歷史責罵"。昨日在中國各大微博上與新華社消息同時短暫解禁的"薄熙來"話題中,網友紛紛表示不解官方內中深意,也有網友稱該評論作者為"黨的高級黑 ",將中共當局所不敢公開的政治因素躍然端出。

《華爾街日報》中文網引述中國人民大學教授張鳴評論,中國當局濫用法律排除政治異已,但在新華社公佈的起訴書中沒有提及薄在重慶的"唱紅打黑",這也是中共當局試圖控制該案的影響,因為薄在有3000萬人口的重慶主政時,"共富、反腐"等承諾得到廣泛擁護。中國學者姚監復也在昨日接受德國之聲採訪時認為中國當局將薄案與政治路線做了徹底切割,因為習近平與薄熙來在本質上都是"毛澤東路線"的擁護者。

China's new Politburo Standing Committee members (from L to R) Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, Zhang Dejiang, Yu Zhengsheng, Liu Yunshan, Wang Qishan and Zhang Gaoli arrive to meet the press at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, in this November 15, 2012 photo released by Chinese official Xinhua News Agency. REUTERS/Xinhua/Ding Lin (CHINA - Tags: POLITICS) NO SALES. NO ARCHIVES. FOR EDITORIAL USE ONLY. NOT FOR SALE FOR MARKETING OR ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS. THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. IT IS DISTRIBUTED, EXACTLY AS RECEIVED BY REUTERS, AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS. CHINA OUT. NO COMMERCIAL OR EDITORIAL SALES IN CHINA. YES
中共內部達成默契,薄熙來被拋下船?圖片來源: Reuters

"此案是爭位子的結果,為薄量身定枷鎖"

中國歷史學者章立凡向德國之聲表示,薄案馬上塵埃落定,表示黨內各派達成共識,即將薄熙來拋下中共的"大船",只是在精心設計的各個環節中,尚有諸多不合邏輯之處,難以服眾,如以薄受賄2000萬元這個在中共體制內官員並不為奇的數額,與谷開來案中殺害海伍德的理由有邏輯上的矛盾之處。

章立凡認為當局對於薄案,無論民間如何質疑,整個過程一直秘而不宣,盡在後台的運作中。新華網的評論倒有讓公眾"眼前一亮豁然開朗"的感覺,這其實就是一個政治運作的案件,因政治起,也以政治手段終結,但當局對於薄在公訴書罪行以外的包括"唱紅打黑"、"反腐"等還是會做出切割,因為現今的執政者也在提出類似的主張,他們在本質上沒有大的不同,因此習近平不會打壓"重慶模式",亦不會正式肯定:"現在的模式和重慶模式也沒覺出有多大區別來,都是一路貨,統治思想都是一樣的,只不過是利益不同,所以要爭位子,基本來看還是爭位子的結果。"

為此章立凡在微博上對薄案進行總結:"有劉尚書6000萬、373套房的'免死標桿',薄死是死不了,頂多'永遠圈禁';罪名從六條縮水至三,分明是先預設好防鹹魚翻身的年限,再量身定做一 套枷鎖;2500萬,打發要飯的,我朝任何一家親王都拿不出手;為此區區小數,大福晉至於夥同家奴殺人滅口?公堂上再看招。"

China's former Chongqing Municipality Communist Party Secretary Bo Xilai (R) and his son Bo Guagua stand in front of a picture of his father Bo Yibo, former vice-chairman of the Central Advisory Commission of the Communist Party of China, at a mourning hall in Beijing in this January 18, 2007 file photo. Bo Guagua, a 24-year-old descendant of Chinese Communist royalty, seemed destined to one day become a rich and powerful businessman in an economy that in his lifetime would become the world's largest. His pedigree, elite schooling, easy confidence and connections left those who knew him in no doubt he would pursue a business career and amass a fortune. That was until a British expatriate, Neil Heywood, died in November 2011 in a hotel in a huge city in western China, a world away from the clipped lawns and hushed libraries of Harvard University where Bo was studying. The story now looks certain to ruin his family and upend his ambitions. REUTERS/Stringer (CHINA - Tags: POLITICS CRIME LAW TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY) CHINA OUT. NO COMMERCIAL OR EDITORIAL SALES IN CHINA
薄瓜瓜是中共讓薄認罪的「籌碼」?圖片來源: Reuters

"習近平獲勝為王"

香港《明報》在薄的起訴書公佈後,以"審判薄熙來不趕盡殺絕,習近平的好身段"為題做出報導。章立凡也分析,在薄案背後的權力之爭中,習近平與薄熙來同為太子黨,最終的際遇卻大不同,日薄西山的悲涼映射出的是中共當局目前甄選接班人的制度依然像封建王朝時期的"奪嫡之爭",習近平接過的這個案件雖然棘手,但最終的獲利者正是習。

章立凡表示:"有人和他爭位子,爭不過還永世不得翻身了,習近平當然是得利者,其實這兩個人從出身、路數、作為紅二代的思想水準也差不多,不說好壞,能力上有可能薄比習還厲害,最後能力強的被幹掉了,相對平庸的留下了。這也說明中共體制內的選擇不是"Fair Play",不是靠公平競爭,是靠背後權力支持陣營的陰謀,沒有一套民主競爭的機制,本來可以光明正大的競爭,而不是指定人選,或幾派大佬定奪然後誰上誰下,都不屬於民主和政黨政治而是會黨政治。"

章立凡在採訪的最後笑稱,依薄熙來的性格,除非中共有"置他於死地"的砝碼,不敢完全保證薄熙來不會大鬧公堂:"他們這種判法,就是先設定好給薄的年頭,再倒過來配置好罪名,我現在比較期待看薄熙來到臨場會不會反悔,會不會原來講好的條件都不認? "

作者:吳雨

責編:李魚