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Middle East

Egyptians hoping ElBaradei can provide change they can believe in

Former UN nuclear chief Mohammed ElBaradei has made no official announcement about running for Egypt's presidency in 2011 but a surge of support built on the hope for change is sweeping him closer to the campaign trail.

Mohamed ElBaradei

ElBaradei has mobilised a coalition of Egypt's opposition

Such is the desire for change among liberal thinkers in Egypt that any sliver of hope of overturning almost three decades of rule by President Hosni Mubarak is enthusiastically championed. It doesn't seem to matter that the next presidential election is over a year away or that potential reformist leaders are wildly celebrated despite not being legally allowed to run for office. It appears that a slim chance is better than none at all.

The reception afforded Mohammed ElBaradei on his homecoming to Cairo last week seemed to sum up the mood of many who have grown up under Mubarak's increasingly oppressive and divisive leadership. Rapturous crowds of thousands welcomed ElBaradei, many inspired by the calls from Egypt's normally moribund opposition figures for him to run against Mubarak in 2011, if the 81-year-old incumbent decides to stand again.

The reaction to ElBaradei's return also smacked of desperation. The Nobel Peace Prize laureate is officially banned under Egypt's constitution from running for president. Amendments to the constitution passed in 2005 and 2007 prohibit him from doing so, a fact well-known among the celebrating masses. And yet, he was still welcomed as a national hero and saviour.

While neither counting himself in nor ruling himself out, ElBaradei has certainly stirred up debate over the future of Egypt, a country that has a history of strongly suppressing dissent and criticism of the president and his methods.

Support from cross-section of Egyptian society

Mohamed ElBaradei

Public support has led to ElBaradei being championed

Echoing another leader who was swept to power on a public longing for change, ElBaradei has already formed a 'Coalition for Change,' a group of like-minded opposition leaders aimed at reforming Egypt's constitution. Claiming that 99 percent of Egyptians want their country to head in a new direction, ElBaradei has also begun rallying "the poor and the rich, the young and the old…women wearing the niqab, the hijab, or not veiled at all; intellectuals; peasants; people of all ages and classes."

But much like US President Barack Obama, ElBaradei has made it clear that he does not want to be seen as a saviour. However, just as huge expectations pushed Obama to the White House, it may already be too late. "ElBaradei has become the symbol of the hope for change for millions of Egyptians," novelist Alaa al-Aswani told reporters on Tuesday.

Government restrictions make candidacy near impossible

Despite the growing movement behind ElBaradei, analysts say election rules make it almost impossible for any candidate to stage a realistic challenge against the one nominated by Mubarak's ruling National Democratic Party (NDP).

An Egyptian worker prepares to hang a giant billboard, donated by a supporter, showing Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, in Cairo Thursday, Aug. 25, 2005.

Mubarak's party holds the power over independents

DW.DE

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